Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.153182 0.174780 0.199086 0.228610 0.263697 0.304304 0.355202
2025-07-13 0.120285 0.148734 0.184135 0.232067 0.296272 0.380770 0.502896
2025-07-20 0.101102 0.132558 0.174732 0.236804 0.328282 0.462267 0.681580
2025-07-27 0.088153 0.120987 0.167686 0.241244 0.358688 0.547448 0.893314
2025-08-03 0.079163 0.112880 0.163288 0.247491 0.391841 0.644440 1.159788
2025-08-10 0.071298 0.104939 0.157383 0.249493 0.417534 0.734958 1.450856
2025-08-17 0.064732 0.097919 0.151573 0.250092 0.440219 0.825746 1.783073
2025-08-24 0.058963 0.091334 0.145359 0.248549 0.458060 0.911658 2.146496
2025-08-31 0.053779 0.085039 0.138683 0.244789 0.470310 0.988937 2.529743
2025-09-07 0.050735 0.081991 0.137236 0.250701 0.504243 1.128004 3.178062
2025-09-14 0.046715 0.076773 0.131137 0.246144 0.513612 1.208834 3.696564
2025-09-21 0.043989 0.073579 0.128406 0.248105 0.538771 1.341478 4.505442
2025-09-28 0.040911 0.069491 0.123583 0.245027 0.551608 1.446648 5.313167
2025-10-05 0.038947 0.067300 0.122262 0.249637 0.585907 1.633902 6.695727
2025-10-12 0.037241 0.065429 0.121349 0.255046 0.624086 1.853331 8.535875
2025-10-19 0.035644 0.063607 0.120309 0.259969 0.662495 2.094718 10.892950
2025-10-26 0.034341 0.062240 0.120064 0.266835 0.709030 2.395206 14.239101
2025-11-02 0.032785 0.060211 0.118133 0.269036 0.741739 2.659940 17.940969
2025-11-09 0.031251 0.058092 0.115766 0.269694 0.769822 2.923908 22.384814
2025-11-16 0.029687 0.055781 0.112716 0.268001 0.789564 3.163350 27.378140
2025-11-23 0.028098 0.053291 0.109004 0.263878 0.799643 3.362904 32.678606
2025-11-30 0.027281 0.052398 0.108964 0.270363 0.851976 3.837824 44.285712
2025-12-07 0.025858 0.050071 0.105244 0.265364 0.858090 4.048477 52.740258